Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 103.763886 117.872125 133.422421 151.871628 173.211919 197.177699 226.210748
2026-01-04 84.670526 103.393400 125.757324 154.589442 190.991311 235.705693 295.223991
2026-01-11 71.783200 92.202556 118.014099 153.329583 200.844177 263.198370 352.277492
2026-01-18 64.474917 86.299530 115.198258 156.736118 215.684260 297.509771 421.743338
2026-01-25 57.694731 79.927612 110.536032 156.407997 224.545689 323.828968 482.813767
2026-02-01 52.826803 75.460824 107.725789 157.936704 235.679465 354.116800 553.381449
2026-02-08 47.664137 69.915978 102.610559 155.195853 239.650261 373.510329 608.944787
2026-02-15 44.277180 66.597568 100.348306 156.370243 249.569732 403.074219 685.046796
2026-02-22 41.477535 63.858797 98.620508 158.053412 260.274841 434.909553 769.368021
2026-03-01 37.896715 59.535196 93.933797 154.284851 261.165513 449.760180 824.647337
2026-03-08 34.904617 55.884159 89.973764 151.263822 262.872391 466.006086 884.563881
2026-03-15 32.574423 53.116162 87.209133 149.980670 267.441088 487.838405 958.422785
2026-03-22 31.244076 52.119702 87.695110 155.180736 285.877196 540.791229 1110.480430
2026-03-29 29.632208 50.516109 87.017907 158.280568 300.967254 589.993585 1265.636278
2026-04-05 27.556117 47.885685 84.223488 157.004785 307.145285 621.820174 1388.149673
2026-04-12 26.345135 46.695831 83.924738 160.503657 323.490876 677.594487 1578.304768
2026-04-19 24.763838 44.670925 81.848248 160.166784 331.612062 716.429907 1735.003580
2026-04-26 23.558155 43.243782 80.771252 161.736551 344.063107 767.031599 1933.003415
2026-05-03 21.976143 40.954434 77.785774 158.922123 346.228374 793.592051 2072.211168
2026-05-10 20.957541 39.683774 76.718721 160.128021 357.851046 845.087278 2293.184634
2026-05-17 20.071588 38.602040 75.933048 161.856396 370.939299 902.421519 2545.103276
2026-05-24 18.735088 36.497439 72.832242 157.986699 369.774950 922.353467 2687.743151
2026-05-31 17.577987 34.676543 70.181822 154.884803 370.149095 946.534507 2850.004860